Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2062.609090 2240.921764 2421.362255 2617.330518 2823.858550 3034.758615 3266.102758
2025-05-25 1748.065650 2012.474795 2290.233770 2602.564625 2942.787019 3301.003418 3705.508456
2025-06-01 1572.621047 1890.437145 2233.589856 2629.139293 3070.014293 3543.922685 4089.441463
2025-06-08 1409.833571 1761.443949 2150.385982 2608.402651 3128.894845 3698.077075 4363.600238
2025-06-15 1322.285850 1707.003410 2141.288869 2661.768959 3262.583315 3928.643049 4717.069968
2025-06-22 1223.822291 1630.971977 2099.644570 2670.758475 3339.722232 4090.718994 4989.681251
2025-06-29 1130.438743 1553.758945 2050.275314 2664.908055 3394.715344 4223.560796 5225.868086
2025-07-06 1012.744759 1439.264303 1949.686356 2592.086185 3365.728606 4254.866623 5341.272847
2025-07-13 986.340232 1435.844899 1981.538714 2676.376359 3521.431714 4500.616409 5705.520577
2025-07-20 942.626672 1407.354307 1980.032100 2718.039829 3624.646115 4683.881423 5996.568288
2025-07-27 888.379168 1361.947082 1954.654584 2727.940065 3687.602559 4818.202699 6229.296805
2025-08-03 832.050489 1310.570183 1918.975685 2722.581430 3729.972523 4926.544157 6430.330110
2025-08-10 788.084247 1274.317115 1901.957438 2740.725765 3802.205244 5072.670027 6679.571126
2025-08-17 733.813972 1221.231392 1860.848520 2726.434714 3832.945608 5167.999560 6867.955783
2025-08-24 700.172706 1194.828182 1853.236959 2753.854188 3914.983215 5325.406995 7131.390271
2025-08-31 650.654162 1143.199391 1809.641036 2732.450191 3933.673616 5403.858300 7298.109157
2025-09-07 632.507032 1135.683551 1824.794686 2787.530877 4049.459045 5602.335080 7612.035743
2025-09-14 599.536794 1104.616663 1806.281015 2796.808092 4105.654073 5726.352740 7834.534489
2025-09-21 563.606251 1067.192135 1777.354008 2790.770471 4141.003879 5823.662950 8023.810397
2025-09-28 507.905078 996.568284 1699.141457 2715.607328 4084.111197 5803.206143 8065.509637
2025-10-05 506.057398 1009.429464 1739.600182 2802.605613 4240.507256 6053.241303 8445.619785
2025-10-12 491.050448 1000.644363 1748.345815 2845.597566 4338.720806 6229.606067 8734.171505
2025-10-19 467.309736 976.617600 1733.997762 2855.812522 4392.927127 6349.659372 8952.188472